adminconsultНовизна. Эксперимент. Традиции (Н.Экс.Т)Novelty. Experiment. Traditions (N.Ex.T)2949-3625adminconsult-123Research ArticleСтатьиО перспективах независимости Шотландии в период «пост-Брекзита»Post-Brexit Scottish Independence PerspectivesБарабановаЕ. М.BarabanovaE. M.

Барабанова Елизавета Максимовна, студент 4-го курса бакалавриата факультета международных отношений

Санкт-Петербург

Elizaveta M. Barabanova, BA Student, the Faculty of International Relations

Saint Petersburg

lizkabar001@gmail.comСанкт-Петербургский государственный университеРоссияSaint Petersburg State UniversityRussian Federation20211101202274615Copyright © Барабанова Е.М., 20222022Барабанова Е.М.Barabanova E.M.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.nxtjournal.ru/jour/article/view/123

В статье предпринята попытка выявить социально-политические причины недавней активизации шотландского националистического движения и  закономерности, определяющие высокий потенциал дискурса о независимости Шотландии в формировании внутриобщественного противостояния в Шотландии и Великобритании. В статье дополнительно уделяется внимание формулированию ключевых социально-политических проявлений и «антиэлитных» паттернов шотландской националистической идеи. Для достижения этой цели излагаются ключевые особенности шотландского национализма и требования, выдвинутые сепаратистскими силами накануне референдума 2014 г., после чего дается оценка влияния Брекзита на состояние и интенсивность сепаратистского движения в Шотландии, а также результаты недавних выборов в Холируд. Наконец, актуальность статьи заключается в предоставлении комплексной оценки вероятности нового референдума о независимости Шотландии на основе изучения текущего социально-политического и экономического контекста, существующего в Шотландии.

The article attempts to identify the socio-political root causes of the recent intensifcation of the Scottish nationalist movement and the patterns determining the high potential of Scottish independence discourse in the formation of internal social confrontation in Scotland and the UK. The paper additionally focuses on formulating the key socio-political manifestations and “anti-elite” patterns of the Scottish nationalistic idea. To achieve that, the key features of Scottish nationalism and the demands made by the separatist forces on the eve of the 2014 referendum are outlined followed by the assessment of the impact of Brexit on the state and the intensity of the separatist movement in Scotland as well as the results of recent Holyrood elections. Finally, the relevance of the article stems from the complex evaluation of the probability of a new referendum on Scottish independence provided by the author, formulating such predictions based on the study of the current socio-political and economic context existing in Scotland and the amalgam of factors elucidated in the paper.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.